Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.775100e-05 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079 0.000090
2025-02-02 3.063149e-05 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077 0.000094 0.000113
2025-02-09 2.478747e-05 0.000035 0.000047 0.000063 0.000082 0.000104 0.000132
2025-02-16 2.286480e-05 0.000034 0.000049 0.000068 0.000093 0.000122 0.000159
2025-02-23 1.974761e-05 0.000032 0.000048 0.000070 0.000098 0.000133 0.000179
2025-03-02 1.523290e-05 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000096 0.000134 0.000186
2025-03-09 1.214027e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000062 0.000095 0.000137 0.000195
2025-03-16 9.887392e-06 0.000020 0.000036 0.000061 0.000095 0.000141 0.000205
2025-03-23 8.251659e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000060 0.000097 0.000147 0.000217
2025-03-30 6.760273e-06 0.000016 0.000032 0.000058 0.000097 0.000150 0.000227
2025-04-06 5.369007e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000056 0.000096 0.000152 0.000233
2025-04-13 3.987141e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000052 0.000092 0.000150 0.000235
2025-04-20 2.904269e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000050 0.000092 0.000155 0.000248
2025-04-27 2.486237e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000099 0.000170 0.000276
2025-05-04 1.943841e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000053 0.000103 0.000180 0.000298
2025-05-11 1.864186e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000058 0.000115 0.000202 0.000338
2025-05-18 1.520072e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000059 0.000120 0.000215 0.000365
2025-05-25 9.580646e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000055 0.000116 0.000215 0.000371
2025-06-01 6.206288e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000052 0.000115 0.000217 0.000382
2025-06-08 4.060384e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000115 0.000221 0.000396
2025-06-15 2.712929e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000050 0.000116 0.000228 0.000413
2025-06-22 1.663391e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000049 0.000116 0.000233 0.000428
2025-06-29 8.838405e-08 0.000003 0.000014 0.000046 0.000115 0.000235 0.000438